Technical Analysis 16 Oct 2021 [PDF]

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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Imelda Marten, ST, RTA®, CSA®



2021 16 OCT



Saturday



PROFILE



Imelda Marten, ST, RTA®, CSA®



Registered Technical Analyst



CSA Institute



Certified Security Analyst



CSA Institute



Broker Dealer Representative (WPPE license)



TICMI - OJK



Investment Manager Representative (WMI license)



TICMI – OJK



Instructor



Kurikulum Saham



Charting Software Ami Broker



Trading View, Investing



OLT Charting



Chart Type Line



Candlestick



Bars



OHLC (Open High Low Close) High



High



High



High



Wick/Shadow



Close



Body



Close



Body



Open



Open Open



Open Close



Wick/Shadow



Close Low



Low



Low



Low



TREND IDENTIFICATION HH



High



Higher High (HH)



Lower High (LH)



High



HH



LH HL REVERSAL



HL Higher Low (HL)



Low UPTREND: HH HL



Low



LH Lower Low (LL) LL



DOWNTREND: LH LL



LL



TREND ANALYSIS Uptrend



Downtrend



Sideways / Non trending / Part of Prev. Trend



Market Cycle



Support & Resistance SUPPORT



RESISTANCE



Breakout / Breakdown Resist Trendline BREAKOUT



Support Trendline



SUPPORT become RESISTANCE



RESISTANCE become SUPPORT



Resistance



BREAKDOWN



BREAKOUT Support



Resistance



Support



BREAKDOWN



Single Candlestick Pattern Bearish Reversal (Resist Area)



Bullish Reversal (Support Area)



Hammer



Inverted Hammer



Bullish Marubozu



Hanging Man



Shooting Star



Bearish Marubozu



DOJI



Doji



Dragonfly Doji Bullish Reversal



Gravestone Doji



Long Legged Doji



Bearish Reversal



Dual Function



Double Candlestick Pattern Bullish Reversal (Support Area)



Bullish Engulfing



Piercing Line



Bullish Harami



Tweezer Bottom



Bearish Reversal (Resist Area)



Bearish Engulfing



Dark Cloud Cover



Bearish Harami



Tweezer Top



Multiple Candlestick Pattern Bullish Reversal (Support Area)



Bullish Continuation C



Morning Star



Three White Soldier



Bearish Reversal (Resist Area)



Master Candle



Rising Three



Bearish Continuation



C



Evening Star



Three Black Crows



Falling Three



Master Candle



Chart Pattern



Continuation Flag Pennant



Cup and Handle



Reversal



Dual Function



Double Bottom/Top



Rectangle



Triple Bottom/Top



Triangle



Hns / IHnS



Wedge



Continuation Chart Pattern TARGET PRICE



TARGET PRICE



Pennant



Flag TARGET PRICE



Cup and Handle



Bullish Reversal Chart Pattern TARGET PRICE



TARGET PRICE



Double Bottom



Triple Bottom TARGET PRICE



Inverted Head & Shoulder



Bearish Reversal Chart Pattern



TARGET PRICE



TARGET PRICE



Double Top



Triple Top



TARGET PRICE



Head & Shoulder



Dual Function Chart Pattern TARGET PRICE



TARGET PRICE



TARGET PRICE



Bullish Rectangle Ascending Triangle



TARGET PRICE TARGET PRICE



Bearish Rectangle



Symmetrical Triangle



TARGET PRICE



Descending Triangle



Dual Function Chart Pattern TARGET PRICE



Falling Wedge



TARGET PRICE



Rising Wedge



Indicator Support Resistance Indicator



Trend Following Indicator



Peak & Through Trendline Fibonacci



06.



Market Strength Indicator Wilder’s DMI (ADX) On Balance Volume (OBV) Accumulation/Distribution Chaikin A/D Indicator Price by Volume (PBV)



Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO)



Volatility Indicator



Indicator Analysis



05.



04. Cycle Indicator



01.



Moving Average (SMA, EMA, WMA) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)



02.



Average True Range (ATR) Bollinger Bands (BB) Parabolic Stop and Reverse (PSAR) Keltner Channel



03. Momentum Indicator Relative Strength Index (RSI) Stochastic William % R



OHLC + Volume



VOL



RSI



Fast Trading Setup



Fast Trading (Daily & 1 H) EMA 5 – MA 8



Scalping Setup



Scalping – 5m EMA 13, EMA 34, EMA 200 CCI (7)



Quantitative Trading System Buy Signal



S/R, TP



Sell Signal Fractal Up



Market Trend Trend Identification



Explosion Buy Volume (Serious Buyer)



Emiten Trend



Momentum Oscillator



Explosion Sell Volume (Serious Seller)



Fractal Down



Spec Buy Or Add Buy



MA200 Trend Cycle



4 bars consecutive buy Freq. Behaviour



4 bars consecutive sell



Money Inflow /Outflow



Buy/Sell Volume NBSA



Vol. Moving Average 20



Hitam = Sell Volume Putih = Buy Volume



Trading Psychology Problems



Big Loads in Small Position Floating Loss vs. Floating Profit One Rhythm for All Position High Frequency Position



Monitoring Market Following News/Rumors



Solution



Proven Probability Theory Fund Manager’s Way Knowing the Time with No Regrets Structural Money Management



Trading Plan Fundamental Analysis



Probability Theory



Kelly Critterion’s Theory Formula to optimize investment growth that was first formulated by John Kelly Jr. in 1956. In short, the Kelly formula is to determine the optimal bet so that our investment can develop optimally as well



7



Open Positions Optimal Sizing



Compounding Assets



Formation 40 30 25



FAST



SWING



7 Open Positions



INVESTMENT



40 40 45



20 30 25



Timing is Everything



KNOWING:



KNOWING:



How to FLY How to WALK How to SWIM



When to FLY When to WALK When to SWIM



KNOWING: When to Fast Trading When to Swing Trading When to Invest



Money Management



1st Buy



2nd Buy



3rd Buy



RISK is HIGHER than REWARD



1st Buy



2nd Buy



3rd Buy



REWARD is HIGHER than RISK